I'm not a person who has idols, but Daniel Kahneman came about as close as it gets for me. It is not an exaggeration to say that he revolutionized our understanding of the mind.
Among many other concepts, Kahneman and his collaborators came up with the ideas of:
Anchoring (where an irrelevant number can influence our judgments)
Prospect theory (a theory of how we make judgments when there is uncertainty that incorporates a number of biases)
The focusing illusion (where we overempha...
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The many possible causes of large, positive changes in the world
I’ve noticed that people start with different assumptions about what usually causes large, positive changes in the world. It is rare for us to directly address these differences in worldview, even though they may contribute to difficulties seeing eye-to-eye on how we can make things better.
For instance, I think some people believe that large, positive change usually comes about due to one or more of the following:
(1) Progress - technological and scientific advancement causing a ris...
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