Replica Theory is a tiny model I use that makes a lot of accurate predictions about society:
When people are in a situation where they're as rewarded for doing an easier, fake version of something as they are for doing the real, valuable version, you'll usually find that most of the activity is fake.
There are two types of "fake" activity in the way I'm using the word:
(1) Activity that doesn't achieve anything useful at all.
Example: a treatment that claims to cure a disease bu...
More
model
Agencies Are Not Agents
People will often debate questions like "why did the U.S. invade Iraq?" One group claims it was due to a fear of nuclear weapons. Another group claims that the action was oil related. Yet another claims that George Bush had a vendetta against Saddam. But proposed answers like these often seem to assume something that isn't likely to be true: that there was a single reason why this action occurred. It is in fact not even clear that there was one predominant or overarching reason.
The actions o...
More